First: Are these constant dollars? Or nominal dollars? Maybe there should be a toggle?

Second: I suggest you extend the historical time horizon by a decade, as it will help to demonstrate how Prop. 98 and the insane rise of K-12 spending have totally fucked our budget.

Now it looks like Medi-Cal, services for intellectually disabled people, and "Other HHS programs" will fuck our budget even harder in the coming decade.

Finally: I suggest adding per-beneficiary metrics for all services, where possible. How has the K-12 spending per pupil changed? How will developmental services spending per disabled person change? How much has Medi-Care spending risen per enrolled person?

Like do these groups all have heavy metrics about how budget is growing so we actually know anything is in balance here?

I guess I've never seen proper studies around:

"We project tax revenue will grow X amount with this level of confidence therefore we know we can consistently be within Y range of debt growth forever safely"

Or are we all just hoping we all die before someone has to comes in and cuts services spending in half?

A giant red flag here... That's half the net budget deficit. So... might want to explain it.