China gets sanctions and stale chips - fine, they just DIY the algorithms through CPU instead of GPU and open source it.

American warships have the latest, coolest, highest-tech tactical weaponry imaginable - which is great until you have to fend off 10,000 consumer/wal-mart/IED grade drones at $2mm/clip.

Money is amazing, but if you lean on it too heavily in lieu of _practical_ innovation, it'll bite you in the ass. The apocryphal story of the Soviet Rocket scientist who suggested using a pencil instead of investing 100k in a space pen that worked in 0g's.

"Once men turned their thinking over to machines in the hope that this would set them free. But that only permitted other men with machines to enslave them."

This policy just keeps the powerful in power.

And it's crazy because I already lost my job due to AI.

I worry, like other emerging industries, the administration will make hamfisted decisions that let the Chinese take the lead. See also EVs / clean energy and the war in Iran which has only accelerated that transition.

There’s currently cronyism. There’s no laws that give companies certainty about a regulatory framework (it’s all just being made up). Add to that deep suspicion of expertise at the White House. And a huge disconnect from the economic reality.

It’s a great opportunity for the second tier US labs to release open weight almost-as-good models. Meta kicked off this race, maybe they can release something? Microsoft wants to develop more of their models. Maybe Google should go open weight?

If you can build a good harness around a weaker LLM and get good at prompting, you will still be able to out perform people using CC. CC has context bloat and even more checks to make sure it’s not being distilled, doing anything shady, or building a competing LLM. Those things add context bloat.

Hope is not lost, we just need to open a new front.

"[CCP General Secretary] finally commits fully to the big AI push he had previously tried to avoid. He sets in motion the nationalization of Chinese AI research"

Seem they only got the country wrong.

If we're being perfectly candid, this was already happening before LLMs were a mass-market technology: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sentient_(intelligence_analysi...

Their tagline was: "The computer for the rest of us."

Computers normal people could actually use.

The same vibe feels true for AI agents right now.

Yes, people use ChatGPT and Claude. (mainly as an advanced use of Google search though).

But of the billions of people on earth, only a tiny tiny fraction of people are actually using agents.

The reason is that they still think using AI to do useful + advanced work is for devs or technical early adopters.

It feels like this gap is where the Mac was in 1984.

All of the tech was there. All of the capabilities were real.

The same is true for all of the tech around us right now.

We just need an "Agents for the rest of us" moment.

That is exactly what we're building at https://twent.xyz , because majority of the billions of people on earth, are ANDROID USERS.

Humanity enslaving AI. As well as the rest of humanity.

There is precedent that this kind of thing tends to be rejected when it boils over, but it's usually not pretty.

Which is why tech CEOs are often preppers. They could, you know, just not do this, but shareholders won't allow it, because nobody wants to lose their net worth to do the right thing. It's easier to blame others and build bomb shelters.

Really, I knew that AI had some risks, I just couldn't foresee this one.

Small agencies won't have access to the best LLMs so their services will automatically require more time and manual labour, which makes them more expensive.

Also I wonder how you suggestion of AI owned by everybody, as opposition to AI enslavedd by the few checks out under further scrutiny from the standpoint of logic in general and the aforementioned context specifically

- two companies that have not proved themselves capable of producing any amount of money unless a larger amount is given to them...

- will combine with a government that is so domain-generally incompetent it is losing allies left, right and centre, has recently been humbled into giving a previously-controllable foe an unprecedented level of economic global power and cannot even organise itself a competent birthday party in one of the most important places on earth...

- and this combined entity will then operate a power system like no other, with the combined energies of a sociopathic Jobs wannabe, a man who only speaks in Tolkien analogies and a more-or-less-universally-loathed old man with undisclosed serious health problems, an obsession with gold paint and a vocabulary of maybe a hundred words

… then, OK, I guess.

But the economics don't really support it. The money to build and operate this power machine still has to come from somewhere, that money is drying up, and if AGI arrives, employment and consumer demand collapse and the money stops flowing.

There is a looming catastrophe but it is a sort of long economic winter in the tech industry, combined with a national economy that discovers that when that industry's money-go-round stops making line go up, it resembles its own late 1920s.

> to make intelligence available for everyone

say that again but slowly..